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Skilled trades

The trades and AI: the vendors' favorite statistics are invented. The real ones are worse.

10 July 2026 · 4 min read · Robert Van Ysendyck

Any trade business searching for automation meets the same numbers everywhere: 60 percent of quotes are never followed up, 80 percent of sales close between the second and fifth contact, 78 percent of customers buy from whoever answers first. We traced these numbers for this article. Result: the "National Sales Executive Association" credited with the 80 percent figure has never existed. None of the pages citing the 60 percent name a study. The 78 percent is untraceable. An entire industry's marketing stands on invented statistics.

The annoying part: it is not even necessary. The numbers that survive verification are more striking than the folklore.

The real numbers

Staffing: in electrical construction, three out of four open positions cannot be filled, a vacancy-overhang rate of 75.6 percent, the highest of any occupation in Germany (KOFA annual review 2025, published February 2026). And that in a recession year in which Germany's overall skilled-worker gap shrank by a quarter. The often-quoted 250,000 missing trade workers is, by the way, an industry-association estimate communicated unchanged since 2022; the methodically stricter KOFA calculation put the 2024 gap at around 107,500. The smaller number is still a disaster. In Austria, the chamber of commerce's skilled-worker radar reports around 176,000 missing workers, and apprentice numbers fell to a historic low of 102,878 at the end of 2025.

Open positions that cannot be filled, by trade Industrial electrics 78.2 % Construction electrics 75.6 % Vehicle technology 60.6 %
KOFA annual review 2025 (vacancy-overhang rates, February 2026)

Reachability: in June 2026 a home-services marketplace sent roughly 500 test inquiries to businesses in Germany's ten largest cities. Roofers answered 37 percent of them. The best-performing trade, window builders, still ignored one inquiry in four. The consumer side matches: 60 percent of Germans say small businesses are hard to reach by phone (YouGov 2023), and order books run 8.9 weeks deep on average (ZDH business survey Q1/2026). Inquiries do not go unanswered because they are unwelcome. They go unanswered because nobody has time to answer them.

The paradox: only 4 percent of German trade businesses use AI, and 72 percent say, verbatim, that they are too busy to deal with digitalization (Bitkom, August 2025). The business's scarcest resource blocks the adoption of exactly the tool that would relieve it. The office share is measurable: in construction, 8.1 percent of working time goes to bureaucratic processes (KfW Research 2025), and Austrian SMEs report up to 19 hours per week (WKÖ 2024).

What the software shelf covers, and what it does not

The trade-software vendors are visibly arming up: Plancraft raised €38 million in August 2025 and ships voice-based measurement and self-writing quotes, HERO launched its own AI phone assistant in June 2026, ToolTime landed the first direct DATEV interface in May 2026. Whoever uses one of these platforms and has not switched those features on should start there, not with an agency. We say that in intro calls regularly.

Two gaps run across the whole shelf though. First, the phone: most established vendors rent their phone AI from startups, some have none at all, and the fact that a Viennese phone-AI company raised the second-largest seed round in Austrian history in June 2026 shows how open this field still is. Second, follow-up: exactly one vendor ships a built-in quote-chasing automation as of July 2026. The rest of the industry writes quotes that cost several working hours each and then leaves it to chance whether anyone follows up.

What a trade business realistically automates

The answer is unspectacular: the office, not the craft.

None of this lays a cable or seals a roof. It makes sure the hours qualified to do so do not evaporate at a desk. Whether it pays off for your business, the 60-second check will tell you, and what such projects cost is in our pricing overview, with sources. And if someone sells you the 80 percent statistic: ask for the source. The answer is a good vendor test.

As of 10 July 2026. Sources: KOFA annual review 2025 (Feb 2026) and KOFA-Kompakt 3/2025, ZDH skilled-worker page and business survey Q1/2026, WKO skilled-worker radar/ibw 2025, WKO apprentice statistics 2025, Bitkom "Digitalisierung des Handwerks" 2025, KfW Research Focus 495 (2025), KMU Forschung Austria 2024, Aroundhome trade-response test (June 2026), Enreach/YouGov 2023, German finance ministry e-invoice FAQ, § 634a BGB, Art. 50 EU AI Act. Debunks: VentureBeat on the "National Sales Executive Association".

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